politico/morning consult poll

Poll: Public hearings didn’t do much to move the needle on impeachment

Voters remain divided, and the survey shows no groundswell of new support despite a rash of damaging revelations.

House Intelligence Committee

Despite three days of explosive testimony in House Democrats’ impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump last week, none of the revelations appear to have moved the needle much when it comes to swaying voters, according to the latest POLITICO/Morning Consult poll out Tuesday.

In the survey, one of the first to measure public support for the inquiry following the conclusion of public hearings last week, voters backed the investigation by a 5-point margin, 48 percent to 43 percent, compared with a 3-point margin the week before. While the percentage of voters who supported the inquiry remained unchanged, opposition to the inquiry dipped by 2 points.

While it’s surely good news for Democrats that they still have the backing of a plurality of voters for their inquiry, voters remain divided, and the poll shows no groundswell of new support despite a rash of damaging revelations. And though the survey found that public impeachment hearings seemingly failed to generate a crush of new support for the inquiry, its findings are a far cry from the president’s claim on Monday that support for impeachment “is dropping like a rock, down into the 20’s in some Polls.”

Still, not only does the country remain divided over impeachment, but both parties also appear to have dug in on their positions: The probe is backed by 81 percent of Democrats, and opposed by 81 percent of Republicans.

“Republicans remain steadfast in their support for President Trump amid a slew of damaging testimonies in the impeachment probe,” said Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult’s vice president. “Our polling shows Republicans overwhelmingly disapprove of impeachment, while over 8 in 10 approve of the job Trump is doing as president. This has remained steady throughout the process.”

Democrats do appear, however, to have stanched a bleeding of independent backing for the inquiry. Support for the inquiry among independents increased 4 points over the past week — to 44 percent from 40 percent — while opposition dropped by 8 points — to 39 percent from 47 percent.

What’s more, half of voters support the House impeaching Trump, compared with 41 percent who oppose it, with roughly the same percentage backing the Senate removing Trump from office. Last week, 48 percent supported and 44 percent opposed impeachment by the House, and voters backed Senate removal by a 47-42 percent margin.

The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted Nov. 22-24 online among a sample of 1,988 registered voters. Results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Morning Consult is a nonpartisan media and technology company that provides data-driven research and insights on politics, policy and business strategy.

More details on the poll and its methodology can be found in these two documents: Toplines | Crosstabs